ATP - ATP Stuttgart Open
Prediction :
Corentin Moutet wins the match
Twelve years after winning the Stuttgart Open title, Fabio Fognini will be making another bid for the gong to start off his grass swing. He faces Corentin Moutet in the first round, in their second career meeting. Below is our prediction of the match.
The winner here will progress to meet top seed Alexander Zverev. Times have really changed; Fognini, a former champion here, starts the 2025 edition as a wildcard.
His recent run hasn’t been great, the Italian coming from a defeat by Nicolas Moreno in the French Open qualifiers. That was his fifth defeat in six matches. His only win in that period was against world No. 343 Oleg Prihodko.
Moutet will present a strong case for coming into this game as the favorite. He has only lost twice in the last six matches. Those defeats were inflicted by top 10 players Jack Draper and Novak Djokovic.
In 10 matches on the tour, Moutet has progressed past the first round in six events. Holding the head-to-head record against Fognini, Moutet will be confident of a good outing at the Center Court.
His latest outing ended in a straight-set loss to Djokovic in the second round at the French Open. He has five wins in his last eight matches and will be the favorite to advance here.
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
19 May 2025 - ATP French Open
15 May 2025 - Turin, Italy
14 May 2025 - Turin, Italy
8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
29 Apr 2025 - Mauthausen, Austria, Qualifying
23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 May 2025 - ATP French Open
27 May 2025 - ATP French Open
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
7 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Corentin Moutet has the better run of form heading into this matchup, and the two players’ head-to-head records favor him as well. The Frenchman won their only meeting, and coming off fine wins in his last eight matches, he has the momentum.
It has been more than four years since these two faced off, and Fognini doesn’t come in the best run he’d have wished for to level the fixture. The Italian lost five of his last six matches, and his confidence has taken a hit. Our prediction for Fabio Fognini v Corentin Moutet is that Corentin Moutet wins the match.