ATP - ATP Stuttgart Open

ATP 117 Italy
Fabio Fognini
10/06/2025 15:45
ATP 91 France
Corentin Moutet

Prediction :

 

Corentin Moutet wins the match

 

Twelve years after winning the Stuttgart Open title, Fabio Fognini will be making another bid for the gong to start off his grass swing. He faces Corentin Moutet in the first round, in their second career meeting. Below is our prediction of the match.

The winner here will progress to meet top seed Alexander Zverev. Times have really changed; Fognini, a former champion here, starts the 2025 edition as a wildcard.

His recent run hasn’t been great, the Italian coming from a defeat by Nicolas Moreno in the French Open qualifiers. That was his fifth defeat in six matches. His only win in that period was against world No. 343 Oleg Prihodko.

Moutet will present a strong case for coming into this game as the favorite. He has only lost twice in the last six matches. Those defeats were inflicted by top 10 players Jack Draper and Novak Djokovic.

In 10 matches on the tour, Moutet has progressed past the first round in six events. Holding the head-to-head record against Fognini, Moutet will be confident of a good outing at the Center Court.

His latest outing ended in a straight-set loss to Djokovic in the second round at the French Open. He has five wins in his last eight matches and will be the favorite to advance here.

Fabio Fognini vs Corentin Moutet Form

Fabio Fognini and Corentin Moutet Last Matches

Fabio Fognini Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

19 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Fabio Fognini
0 :  2
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

15 May 2025 - Turin, Italy

Yunchaokete Bu
2 :  0
Fabio Fognini

14 May 2025 - Turin, Italy

Oleg Prihodko
0 :  2
Fabio Fognini

8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jacob Fearnley
2 :  0
Fabio Fognini

29 Apr 2025 - Mauthausen, Austria, Qualifying

Neil Oberleitner
2 :  1
Fabio Fognini

23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Fabio Fognini
0 :  2
Laslo Djere
Corentin Moutet Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

29 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Corentin Moutet
0 :  3
Novak Djokovic

27 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Corentin Moutet
3 :  0
Clement Tabur

13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jack Draper
2 :  1
Corentin Moutet

11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Corentin Moutet
2 :  1
Holger Rune

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Ugo Humbert
abort
Corentin Moutet

7 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Rinky Hijikata
1 :  2
Corentin Moutet

Fabio Fognini - Corentin Moutet Key Points

  1. Fognini lost five times in his last six matches.
  2. Moutet has five wins in his last eight matches.
  3. In his last 12 games, Fognini managed just three wins.
  4. Moutet won the only previous meeting between these two.

Our Fabio Fognini vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Corentin Moutet has the better run of form heading into this matchup, and the two players’ head-to-head records favor him as well. The Frenchman won their only meeting, and coming off fine wins in his last eight matches, he has the momentum.

It has been more than four years since these two faced off, and Fognini doesn’t come in the best run he’d have wished for to level the fixture. The Italian lost five of his last six matches, and his confidence has taken a hit. Our prediction for Fabio Fognini v Corentin Moutet is that Corentin Moutet wins the match.