Europe - Eurobasket Women
Prediction :
France -14.5
The 2025 EuroBasket Women's tournament heads into the last eight on Tuesday, with France set to take on Lithuania in the first quarter-final. The winner of this match between Les Bleues and the Second Religion will move on to face either Spain or Czechia in the semi-final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
France is on course to extend their impressive record in this competition. They have finished in the top three in each of the last eight editions, winning two bronze, five silver and one gold medal.
Les Bleues romped into the last eight of EuroBasket with a flawless 3-0 record during the group stage, beating Turkey 71-69 and Greece 92-56 before smashing Switzerland 111-37 on Saturday.
With that, the French women have now won two of their last 10 matches across all competitions dating back to the Paris Olympic Games.
Meanwhile, Lithuania have been the biggest surprise package of the competition, having come through Group B in second place despite being the second-lowest seed in the tournament.
The Second Religion edged Slovenia 77-71 in their opening match before pulling off one of the upsets of the competition, beating number eight seed Serbia 74-63 in game two.
They were unable to best Italy in their last match, though, which leaves them with a record of six wins and four defeats in their last 10 games across all competitions.
France vs Lithuania Form
France and Lithuania Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
18 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
4 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
3 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
25 May 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
4 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
3 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
25 May 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
6 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Women, 1st Qual. Group E
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
18 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
9 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Women, 1st Qual. Group E
10 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Women, 1st Qual. Group E
7 Aug 2024 - Olympic Matches Women
4 Aug 2024 - Olympic Matches Women
29 Jul 2024 - Olympic Matches Women
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
21 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
18 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
12 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
11 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
11 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
9 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Women, 1st Qual. Group E
6 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Women, 1st Qual. Group E
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
21 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
18 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
12 Jun 2025 - International Friendly Games, Women
10 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Women, 1st Qual. Group E
7 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Women, 1st Qual. Group E
3 Aug 2024 - International Friendly Games, Women
France - Lithuania Key Points
- France has won eight of their last 10 matches.
- Seven of France’s last eight wins were by 15+ point margins.
- France is on a six-match win streak against this opponent.
- Three of France’s last four wins against Lithuania were by 15+ points.
Our France vs Lithuania Prediction
After a tense clash against Tunisia in their opening match of the competition, France produced two commanding performances against Greece and Switzerland and seem to be getting better with each game.
Lithuania have already defied the odds to reach the knockout stage of this competition, ousting the likes of Slovenia and Serbia, but they have not beaten this opponent in over 15 years, and we doubt they will be able to change that record in this match. Our France vs Lithuania prediction is France -14.5.