ATP - ATP Umag Open
Prediction :
Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win
Third seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli starts his Croatia Open campaign in Umag. He faces unseeded Francesco Passaro for a place in the quarter-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament. Here's our match prediction.
Carabelli reached the last eight of last week's ATP clay event played in Bastad. That was a welcome return to form for the 26-year-old who had lost five successive matches before that tournament, two being on clay.
He is 51st in the live rankings and has won one clay court Challenger Tour event this year. The semi-final in Bastad was his third in ATP Tour clay court events in 2025.and he has a 25-13 record on this surface in 2025.
Francesco Passaro beat wild card Matej Dodig in round one of this tournament but had to come from a set down. He's now 118th in the live rankings.
He has a 20-10 record on clay this year but most of his success has come on the Challenger Tour with four quarter-finals and a semi-final. Only once on the ATP Tour has he reached round three.
There's been one previous meeting between these two players. That was on clay in 2022 with Passaro winning in three sets. We believe Carabelli can get his revenge here and will win this match.
Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Francesco Passaro and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
12 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
9 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- Carabelli was a quarter-finalist in last week's ATP Tour clay event played in Bastad.
- Passaro had to come from a set down to beat a wild card in round one.
- Carabelli is 67 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Passaro has only once reached round three of an ATP Tour clay court event in 2025.
Our Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
Camilo Ugo Carabelli saw an improvement in his form when returning to clay courts last week. He made it to the last eight in Bastad and a win here will take him into his second successive quarter-final.
He faces Francesco Passaro who had a difficult first round match and had to come from behind to get the win. Passaro is well below his opponent in the rankings and has been inconsistent on the ATP Tour this year. Our Francesco Passaro v Camilo Ugo Carabell prediction is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.