Europe - Champions League

HNK Rijeka
22/07/2025 20:45
Ludogorets

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 

Maximising their home advantage could be the agenda for Croatian champions HNK Rijeka as they start in the second qualifying round of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League with a home leg against Bulgaria’s Ludogorets. This first-leg match on Tuesday in Rijeka between the Whites and the Eagles comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals. The winner of this two-legged tie proceeds to the third qualifying round, while the losers will be transferred to the Europa League third qualifying round.

Rijeka have always been a tough nut to crack on their home turf, although this is their first competitive match of the campaign. Ludogorets have already played three competitive games in the season, including the first qualifying round, where they needed additional extra time to win the tie.

This match could be a test of Rijeka’s home credentials against Ludogorets’ stubborn away record, as the Bulgarians lost just one of their seven recent away fixtures in European competitions. Which side will blink first? Read further for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

HNK Rijeka vs Ludogorets Form

HNK Rijeka and Ludogorets Last Matches

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
0 :  1
Goztepe Izmir

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
2 :  1
Bravo Ljubljana

9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
0 :  2
FK Cukaricki

29 May 2025 - Croatia Cup

HNK Rijeka
1 :  0
NK Slaven Belupo

25 May 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
2 :  0
NK Slaven Belupo

18 May 2025 - Prva HNL

Hajduk Split
2 :  1
HNK Rijeka
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
0 :  1
Goztepe Izmir

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
2 :  1
Bravo Ljubljana

9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
0 :  2
FK Cukaricki

29 May 2025 - Croatia Cup

HNK Rijeka
1 :  0
NK Slaven Belupo

25 May 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
2 :  0
NK Slaven Belupo

4 May 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
2 :  1
HNK Gorica
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 May 2025 - Prva HNL

Hajduk Split
2 :  1
HNK Rijeka

14 May 2025 - Croatia Cup

NK Slaven Belupo
1 :  1
HNK Rijeka

10 May 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Sibenik
0 :  1
HNK Rijeka

27 Apr 2025 - Prva HNL

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
1 :  0
HNK Rijeka

19 Apr 2025 - Prva HNL

NK Istra 1961
2 :  0
HNK Rijeka

6 Apr 2025 - Prva HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 :  1
HNK Rijeka
Ludogorets
Ludogorets Last matches
D D L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - A PFG

Ludogorets
5 :  0
FK Septemvri Sofia

16 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Dinamo Minsk
2 :  2
Ludogorets

9 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Ludogorets
1 :  0
Dinamo Minsk

1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
0 :  2
Hradec Kralove

30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
0 :  0
FC Copenhagen

25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
2 :  2
Legia Warsaw
L D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - A PFG

Ludogorets
5 :  0
FK Septemvri Sofia

9 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Ludogorets
1 :  0
Dinamo Minsk

1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
0 :  2
Hradec Kralove

30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
0 :  0
FC Copenhagen

25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
2 :  2
Legia Warsaw

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
1 :  2
Slavia Prague
W W D L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Dinamo Minsk
2 :  2
Ludogorets

17 May 2025 - A PFG

Levski Sofia
2 :  2
Ludogorets

13 May 2025 - A PFG

PFC Cherno More Varna
2 :  0
Ludogorets

9 May 2025 - A PFG

FC Arda Kardzhali
1 :  1
Ludogorets

14 Apr 2025 - A PFG

FK Hebar Pazardzhik
0 :  2
Ludogorets

10 Apr 2025 - Bulgarian Cup

Botev Vratsa
0 :  1
Ludogorets

HNK Rijeka - Ludogorets: Form Analysis

HNK Rijeka & Ludogorets Squad Analysis

Rijeka have been active in the off-season, adding three players to their roster and offering a contract extension to Dejan Petrovic. Anel Husic, Omar Sijaric, and Dominik Yankov have joined the club, while Lindon Selahi has left the club as a free agent.

The experienced Duje Cop remains an option to play as the lone striker if they line up in their traditional 4-2-3-1 formation. Niko Jankovic is likely to slot in the hole behind the striker to lend creativity to the side.

Ludogorets have been deploying a fluid system under Rui Mota.

The Portuguese was previously managing FC Noah and used a 4-3-1-2 system in the two qualifiers while presenting a more aggressive 4-3-3 formation in the weekend league fixture. They ended up scoring five goals, but expect them to go back to a slightly defensive system.

Ivaylo Chochev started Ludogorets’ scoring in their 5-0 win at the weekend that saw five different scorers. Deroy Duarte also got on the scoresheet, but Pedro Naressi’s creativity could decide if the Bulgarians can win the midfield battle.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato HNK Rijeka
CD Huachipato Ludogorets
Top Goalscorer
Top Goalscorer
Bulgaria I. Chochev (1 Goals) Bulgaria S. Ivanov (1 Goals) D. Duarte (1 Goals) Ivory Coast E. Bille (1 Goals) O. Verdon (1 Goals)

HNK Rijeka - Ludogorets Key Points

  1. In six of their last ten matches in the Champions League qualifiers, Ludogorets have seen both teams score goals.
  2. That included an away game in the first qualifying round that Ludogorets won via extra time.
  3. In four of their last eight matches including friendlies, Ludogorets saw both teams score.
  4. The only match between these sides was a friendly in 2015 that Ludogorets won 2-1.
  5. Rijeka conceded goals in each of their five friendlies in the pre-season.
  6. In those five matches, Rijeka scored in three fixtures.

Our HNK Rijeka vs Ludogorets Prediction

Ludogorets have had more European success and are only the second Bulgarian club to enter the group stages of the Champions League. Rijeka, on the other hand, have never qualified for this competition proper. The Croatians are playing their first competitive match of the campaign and come here after conceding in each of their five friendlies. That said, playing them at this venue could be a tough proposition, as they won their last five fixtures here, including friendlies.

This leg could see some action, and our HNK Rijeka vs PFC Ludogorets 1945 prediction is both teams to score.

HNK Rijeka vs Ludogorets - Other Interesting Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.25

Ludogorets have a better European pedigree than their hosts and will look to avoid defeat here to stay in control of the tie. Rijeka are a tough team to beat on their home turf, and that makes this tie a tight clash. Both teams could end up sharing the spoils in a close encounter.