ATP - ATP Eastbourne International

ATP 51 Great Britain
Jacob Fearnley
24/06/2025 19:50
ATP 24 Italy
Flavio Cobolli

Prediction :

 

Over 21.5 games to be played

 

Third seed Flavio Cobolli has a tough match in round one of the Eastbourne International. The Italian faces British wild card Jacob Fearnley in this grass court tournament. Here's our match prediction.

Cobolli is at 24th in the live rankings but grass is not his best surface. The 23-year-old failed to qualify for Wimbledon twice but then reached round two last year. He has only played 12 grass court matches, winning just five of them.

He did reach the quarter-finals at Halle last week winning two long three-setters before being beaten by Alexander Zverev. The three matches he played in that grass court event included five tie-breaks and a side bet on one against Fearnley could well be a winner.

Jacob Fearnley is 23-years-old (the same age as his opponent) and has made swift progress up the rankings in the past year. The British player is 51st in the live rankings, just two places below his career-high.

He was also a quarter-finalist last week, getting to that stage at Queen's Club and losing to Jiri Lehecka. Last year saw him get to round two at Wimbledon and he took a set off Novak Djokovic.

We go for over 21.5 games to be played in this match.

Jacob Fearnley vs Flavio Cobolli Form

Jacob Fearnley and Flavio Cobolli Last Matches

Jacob Fearnley Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

20 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  0
Jacob Fearnley

19 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Jacob Fearnley
2 :  1
Corentin Moutet

16 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Jacob Fearnley
2 :  0
Alex Bolt

9 Jun 2025 - ATP Stuttgart Open

Jacob Fearnley
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

31 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Cameron Norrie
3 :  0
Jacob Fearnley

29 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Jacob Fearnley
abort
Ugo Humbert
Flavio Cobolli Last matches
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

20 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

19 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Denis Shapovalov
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

17 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Joao Fonseca
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

31 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

29 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Flavio Cobolli
3 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

27 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Marin Cilic
0 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

Jacob Fearnley - Flavio Cobolli Key Points

  1. Four of Cobolli's last five best-of-three set matches have had over 21.5 games played in them.
  2. A tie-break would boost our predictions chances of being a winner. Cobolli has played seven in his last five matches.
  3. Over 21.5 games have been played in three of Fearnley's last five matches.
  4. Four of Fearnley's last seven matches have included either a 7-5 or 7-6 set.

Our Jacob Fearnley vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

The winner of this match faces either Marcos Giron or Luciano Darderi in round two, both unseeded. Jacob Fearnley is a player who no seed will want to be drawn against at Wimbledon. He has a good grass court record and already been playing well this year.

Flavio Cobolli may be the third seed but grass is not the top surface for the Italian. He played well at Halle last week though and his three matches saw 97 games played in them. Our Jacob Fearnley v Flavio Cobolli prediction is over 21.5 games to be played.