Europe - Champions League

KuPS
22/07/2025 17:00
Kairat Almaty

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 

The second qualifying round in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers is already set and will feature Finland's KuPS and Kazakhstan's Kairat Almaty. Kuopio Football Stadium is the venue hosting the first leg of this tournament. Who will come out on top? Let's head into the match prediction.

After being crowned champions of Finland in 2024, KuPS secured their ticket in this year's UEFA Champions League qualifiers. This is their second appearance in this tournament after making their debut in 2021, where they lost to Norway's Molde in the first qualifying round. 

Kairat Almaty, on the other hand, ended a four-year trophy drought in the Kazakhstan Premier League to lift their fourth league title in 2024. For their part, too, it was also enough to see them secure their ticket in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers. This marks their third appearance. Can they secure a first-leg advantage in the second qualifying round, or will they fall short? 

KuPS vs Kairat Almaty Form

KuPS and Kairat Almaty Last Matches

KuPS
KuPS Last matches
L W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura
1 :  1
KuPS

17 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga

KuPS
1 :  0
Jypk

15 Jul 2025 - Champions League

FC Milsami
0 :  0
KuPS

12 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga

KuPS
3 :  1
PK-35 Helsinki

8 Jul 2025 - Champions League

KuPS
1 :  0
FC Milsami

6 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga

PK-35Vantaa
2 :  1
KuPS
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga

KuPS
1 :  0
Jypk

12 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga

KuPS
3 :  1
PK-35 Helsinki

8 Jul 2025 - Champions League

KuPS
1 :  0
FC Milsami

1 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga

KuPS
6 :  2
IF Gnistan

27 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga

KuPS
3 :  0
HJK Helsinki

14 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga

KuPS
0 :  3
Ilves
D L D L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura
1 :  1
KuPS

15 Jul 2025 - Champions League

FC Milsami
0 :  0
KuPS

6 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga

PK-35Vantaa
2 :  1
KuPS

4 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga

Oulu
2 :  2
KuPS

28 Jun 2025 - Naisten Liiga

HJK Helsinki
1 :  0
KuPS

24 Jun 2025 - Suomen Cup

Haka Valkeakoski
1 :  1
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty Last matches
W W W D W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  1
Kaisar Kyzylorda

15 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
2 :  0
Ljubljana

8 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Ljubljana
1 :  1
Kairat Almaty

4 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
4 :  0
FK Turan

29 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Ordabasy
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

21 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Kyzylzhar SK
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  1
Kaisar Kyzylorda

15 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
2 :  0
Ljubljana

4 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
4 :  0
FK Turan

21 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Kyzylzhar SK

24 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  2
FC Okzhetpes

27 Apr 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
2 :  1
Tobol Kostanay
L L W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Ljubljana
1 :  1
Kairat Almaty

29 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Ordabasy
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

14 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2 :  2
Kairat Almaty

30 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
1 :  2
Kairat Almaty

18 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Yelimai
1 :  0
Kairat Almaty

14 May 2025 - Cup

FC Ordabasy
1 :  0
Kairat Almaty

KuPS - Kairat Almaty: Form Analysis

KuPS & Kairat Almaty Squad Analysis

KuPS doesn't have any fitness concerns heading into the first leg of the second qualifying round in the UEFA Champions League. 

Head coach Jarkko Wiss will probably select his best players for the upcoming match with Kairat Almaty. A 4-2-3-1 formation will be deployed, as has been the case in the previous two UEFA Champions League qualifying games.

Agon Sadiku and Otto Ruoppi are the current threats in the team. Ruoppi scored the winning goal in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League first qualifying round against FC Milsami Orhei, with Sadiku providing the assist.

Jorginho has been involved in three goal involvements in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers.

However, credit also has to go to KuPS goalkeeper Johannes Kreidl, who has yet to concede a goal, leaving his club with the joint-best defensive record in the tournament. 

Kairat Almaty also has no fresh injury concerns to be worried about heading into this clash. 

Jorginho has been phenomenal in this tournament for his club. He has been involved in three goal involvements. The 27-year-old opened the scoring and dished out an assist in the second leg of the UEFA Champions League first qualifying round against NK Olimpija Ljubljana.

KuPS - Kairat Almaty Key Points

  1. KuPS have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last three matches across all competitions.
  2. Kairat Almaty have seen each of their last three matches across all competitions end with under 2.5 goals.
  3. KuPS won 1-0 at home in their previous UEFA Champions League qualifiers fixture.
  4. Kairat Almaty have seen each of their last two matches in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers end with under 2.5 goals.
  5. Kairat Almaty have seen five of their last six matches across all competitions end with under 2.5 goals.

Our KuPS vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

KuPS are slight favorites to secure a win in this tight contest against Kairat Almaty. They have won three consecutive matches across all competitions at the Kuopio Football Stadium after losing two straight. However, Kairat Almaty is the one team that can spoil the party for them.

The visitors come into this clash unbeaten in their last four away matches across all competitions. Their most recent away match in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a similar scoreline in the first leg of the second qualifying round. Our KuPS vs Kairat Almaty prediction: under 2.5.

KuPS vs Kairat Almaty - Other Interesting Predictions

Half-time Result: Draw

Odds 2.04
KuPS have seen each of their last two matches in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers end level at half-time. Even Kairat Almaty's most recent away match in this competition ended level at half-time.