ATP - ATP Umag Open
Prediction :
Mariano Navone to win in straight sets
This first round match in the Croatia Open sees fifth seed Mariano Navone face unseeded Tomas Barrios Vera. The winner of this outdoor clay court match will take on either Mili Poljicak or Jesper de Jong, both unseeded. Here's our first round match prediction.
Mariano Navone leads his opponent 3-1 in previous meetings, all played on this surface. The most recent was in last week's Nordea Open with Navone winning in straight sets. Navone went on to Francisco Cerundolo in his next match and is 76th in the live rankings.
The Argentine has a 20-12 record on clay this year. Earlier this month, he won the Braunschweig Challenger Tour event and has reached one ATP quarter-final on clay this year.
Tomas Barrios Vera is down at 142nd in the live rankings. He's slipped down the rankings due to losing the points earned when winning a clay court Challenger title last July. This year has seen him win 25 of his 39 matches on this surface.
The 27-year-old has lost his last two clay court matches, the last one of course to Navone. He's won two clay court Challenger Tour titles this year but is yet to get past round one of an ATP Tour event.
We tip Navone to again beat him in straight sets.
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Form
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera and Mariano Navone Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
10 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
8 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
26 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
12 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
11 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
10 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
9 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone Key Points
- Navone is 66 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Navone beat Vera 7-5 7-5 last week and leads him 3-1 in previous meetings, all played on clay.
- Vera is yet to get past round one of an ATP Tour clay court event in 2025.
- Navone has reached one ATP Tour clay court quarter-final this year.
Our Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Prediction
We have a rematch from last week's tournament in Bastad. Just like Usyk v Dubois, we expect this rematch to have the same result as their previous meeting. Navone has achieved far more than his opponent on the ATP Tour and is a lot higher in the rankings.
Vera has had success on the Challenger Tour but has struggled to replicate that at a higher level. Our Tomas Barrios Vera v Mariano Navone prediction is Mariano Navone to win in straight sets.