International - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
15/06/2025 04:15
Dominican Republic

Prediction :

 

Mexico to win and over 2.5 goals

 

Mexico will have their best warmup for co-hosting the 2026 World Cup when they host the 2025 Gold Cup. They start it off in Group A on Sunday, with a game against the Dominican Republic. Let’s have a look at the prediction for the match.

El Tri are the defending champions and will be expected to top this group, which also has Costa Rica and Suriname. Mexico opted to face European nations in friendly matches to prepare for this tournament.

In their final warmup game, they beat Turkey 1-0, having earlier lost 4-2 to Switzerland. In general, Mexico are in good shape, having won six of their last 10 matches and lost only twice.

For the Dominican Republic, this is a massive game, and starting off against the defending champions and hosts makes it a tough one.

They haven't played a match of this magnitude in recent times, and this already looks lopsided. The Dominican Republic are coming off a 5-0 rout of Dominica in the World Cup qualifiers.

They’ve lately been involved in high-scoring matches. Los Quisqueyanos have proven in those matches that they can score goals, but they will need to show it more at the Gold Cup. They’ve also been in good shape, losing only once in the last 11 matches.

Mexico vs Dominican Republic Form

Mexico and Dominican Republic's standings in the CONCACAF Gold Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Mexico
Mexico
3 1 1 0 0 1
4
Dominican Republic
Dominican Republic
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Mexico and Dominican Republic Last Matches

Mexico
Mexico Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Turkey

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  4
Switzerland

24 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  1
Panama

21 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

22 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

CA River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico

20 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Turkey

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  4
Switzerland

24 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  1
Panama

20 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras

16 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

13 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Valencia
L L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

22 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

CA River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico

16 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

11 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Mexico

27 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Venezuela
1 :  0
Mexico

25 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
2 :  0
Mexico
Dominican Republic
Dominican Republic Last matches
W W D W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Dominican Republic
5 :  0
Dominica

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Guatemala
4 :  2
Dominican Republic

26 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Dominican Republic
2 :  0
Puerto Rico

22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Puerto Rico
2 :  2
Dominican Republic

20 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic
6 :  1
Bermuda

17 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica
1 :  6
Dominican Republic
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
4 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Dominican Republic
5 :  0
Dominica

26 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Dominican Republic
2 :  0
Puerto Rico

20 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic
6 :  1
Bermuda

15 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic
5 :  0
Antigua and Barbuda

10 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic
2 :  0
Dominica

12 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Dominican Republic
4 :  0
Virgin Islands, British
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Guatemala
4 :  2
Dominican Republic

22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Puerto Rico
2 :  2
Dominican Republic

17 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica
1 :  6
Dominican Republic

12 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Antigua and Barbuda
0 :  5
Dominican Republic

7 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda
2 :  3
Dominican Republic

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Jamaica
1 :  0
Dominican Republic

Mexico against Dominican Republic Lineups: Starting 11

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
L. Malagon
2
J. Sanchez
23
J. Gallardo
3
C. Montes
15
I. Reyes
25
R. Alvarado
6
E. Lira
4
E. Alvarez
17
O. Pineda
9
R. Jimenez
11
S. Gimenez
19
P. Gonzalez
18
J. Kaparos
17
D. Romero
8
H. Morschel
11
E. Reyes
14
J. Lopez
6
P. Rosario
5
N. Dollenmayer
4
E. Pujol
2
J. Urbaez
12
X. Valdez

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Dominican Republic

Missing players

Mexico
Mexico
Defender

J. Vasquez

Dominican Republic
Dominican Republic

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mexico
CD Huachipato Dominican Republic
Top Goalscorer
Mexico R. Jimenez (1 Goals)
Mexico C. Montes (1 Goals)
Mexico E. Alvarez (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
P. Gonzalez (1 Goals) E. Azcona (1 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico O. Pineda (1 Assists)
Mexico E. Alvarez (1 Assists)
Mexico S. Gimenez (1 Assists)
Best assists
H. Morschel (1 Assists)
J. Urbaez (1 Assists)

Mexico - Dominican Republic Key Points

  1. 14 goals were scored in Mexico’s last five matches.
  2. Mexico have posted six wins in their last 10 matches.
  3. The Dominican Republic failed to win six of their last 10 away matches.
  4. Only two of the Dominican Republic’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.

Our Mexico vs Dominican Republic Prediction

The Dominican Republic are among the weak teams taking part in this competition. They can only aim to upset the odds at the tournament, starting with the hosts and holders. The Dominican Republic have already proven to be great in attack, though they will want to test themselves against more formidable opponents.

El Tri will offer more than just that; they are playing at home in what is seen as a rehearsal for hosting the World Cup next year. This might end in a heavy beating for the Dominican Republic. Our prediction for Mexico v Dominican Republic is for Mexico to win and over 2.5 goals.