USA - NBA
Prediction :
Indiana Pacers +11.5
We return to the Paycom Centre on Sunday for Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers. The Pacers edged OKC in Game 1 to take a 1-0 lead in the series. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will still be scratching their heads over how they went from 15 points up at one point in the fourth quarter of Game 1 to losing by one and going 1-0 down in the series.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put in another stunning performance with 38 points, but outside of him, few players managed to step up when it mattered. Lu Lort and Jalen Williams combined for just 32 points.
As a team, OKC shot just 39% from the field and were outrebounded 56-39. However, they notched up a massive 14 steals to the Pacers' one and forced 24 turnovers while committing just six.
However, despite those excellent defensive numbers, the Thunder were unable to stop Tyrese Haliburton from draining the first buzzer-beater for a win in a Finals game since Michael Jordan in 1997.
Haliburton finished with 14 points and 10 assists, and while no Indiana player got above 20 points, all five starters ended in double digits, while the bench contributed 39 points.
Most impressively, the Pacers got the win despite playing well below their standards, and their confidence will now be sky-high, having stolen home-court advantage.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Jun 2025 - NBA
29 May 2025 - NBA
27 May 2025 - NBA
25 May 2025 - NBA
23 May 2025 - NBA
21 May 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Jun 2025 - NBA
29 May 2025 - NBA
23 May 2025 - NBA
21 May 2025 - NBA
18 May 2025 - NBA
14 May 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 May 2025 - NBA
25 May 2025 - NBA
16 May 2025 - NBA
11 May 2025 - NBA
10 May 2025 - NBA
26 Apr 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Jun 2025 - NBA
1 Jun 2025 - NBA
30 May 2025 - NBA
28 May 2025 - NBA
26 May 2025 - NBA
24 May 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jun 2025 - NBA
28 May 2025 - NBA
26 May 2025 - NBA
12 May 2025 - NBA
10 May 2025 - NBA
30 Apr 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Jun 2025 - NBA
30 May 2025 - NBA
24 May 2025 - NBA
22 May 2025 - NBA
14 May 2025 - NBA
7 May 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
6 Jun 2025 - NBA
30 Mar 2025 - NBA
27 Dec 2024 - NBA
6 Apr 2024 - NBA
13 Mar 2024 - NBA
1 Apr 2023 - NBA
Players list
Substitutes
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers Key Points
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four matches.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in their last five NBA Finals games.
- The Pacers have won seven of their last eight Playoff games when installed as underdogs.
- The Pacers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight away games.
Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
The Thunder will be kicking themselves for their fourth-quarter performance in Game 1, but this is a team that has only lost back-to-back games once since November, and it will not come as a surprise if they secure a big win on Sunday.
However, the Pacers will be brimming with confidence after Game 1, when they did what they’ve done all postseason - never give up! Indiana have been installed as a double-digit underdog three times since the end of December and covered on each occasion. Thus, we’ll take the free points in this one. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers prediction is Indiana Pacers +11.5.