France - Top 14
Prediction :
RC Toulonnais -9.5 handicap points
RC Toulonnais will host Castres Olympique in this 2025 Top 14 quarter-final playoff on Saturday. The winner of this match will travel to take on Bordeaux Bègles in the semifinals. Can the Red and Blacks defeat the Castres-based side to qualify for the last four? Follow our prediction for the match below.
RC Toulonnais finished third in the standings with 72 points at the end of the regular season to secure a home quarter-final playoff fixture. Notably, they struggled during the run-in in the regular season, losing four of their last five league matches.
However, they have been one of the best home teams in the league this season, winning 12 of their 13 home league matches. This includes a 27-10 home victory over Bordeaux Bègles in their last match. Interestingly, 11 of those victories have been by double-digit margins.
Castres Olympique narrowly qualified for the playoffs. They secured the last slot for the competition, finishing sixth in the standings with 63 points, just a point above seventh-placed Stade Rochelais. They have lost three of their last five matches, including a 21-10 away defeat against Stade Français.
Also worthy of note is that Xavier Sadourny’s side have failed to win any of their last seven away matches, recording straight defeats in the least four, three of which by heavy margins.
RC Toulonnais vs Castres Olympique Form
RC Toulonnais and Castres Olympique Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
1 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jun 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
15 Feb 2025 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
31 May 2025 - Top 14
24 May 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
31 May 2025 - Top 14
24 May 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
RC Toulonnais vs Castres Olympique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
14 Sep 2024 - Top 14
18 Feb 2024 - Top 14
25 Nov 2023 - Top 14
22 Apr 2023 - Top 14
22 Oct 2022 - Top 14
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Substitutes
RC Toulonnais - Castres Olympique Key Points
- RC Toulonnais have won 12 of their 13 home league matches this season, 11 of which by double-digit margins.
- RC Toulonnais have won their last three home matches against Castres Olympique.
- Castres Olympique have lost three of their last five matches.
- Castres Olympique are winless in their last seven away matches, recording straight defeats in the last four, three of which by double-digit margins.
Our RC Toulonnais vs Castres Olympique Prediction
Castres Olympique will head into this match as underdogs. They are winless in their last seven away matches, losing the last four – three of which by double-digit margins. They have also lost their last three away fixtures against RC Toulonnais.
RC Toulonnais didn't impress during the run-in, but boast a terrific 12-0-1 home record this season, winning 11 by double-digit margins. Pierre Mignoni's side are favorites to win this match and cover spread given these trends of results. Our RC Toulonnais vs Castres Olympique prediction is RC Toulonnais -9.5 handicap points.