ATP - ATP Umag Open
Prediction :
Roberto Carballes Baena wins the match
Unseeded Nikoloz Basilashvili attempts to cause an upset in round one of the Croatia Open. He takes on the sixth seeded Roberto Carballes Baena in round one of this outdoor clay court tournament being staged in Umag. Here's our match prediction.
Basilashvili is playing Baena for the fourth time and has won all of the previous three. The only match played on clay was ten years ago and the most recent in 2021. Last week saw Basilashvili lose his second consecutive clay court match and third on all surfaces.
The former world number 16 is now 114th in the live rankings. Out of 17 clay court matches he's played this year, only eight have been won. Half of those wins came in the Bordeaux Challenger where he lost in the final.
Roberto Carballes Baena is at 85th in the live rankings and has a 6-7 record on clay in 2025. Last week saw the Spaniard lose in round two in Gstaad. Before that, he'd reached the last eight of the Braunschweig Challenger, so is starting to come alive on clay.
His best performance of the year has come on clay. He made it to the Marrakech semi-finals and needs to recapture that form.
We tip Baena to win this.
Roberto Carballes Baena vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Form
Roberto Carballes Baena and Nikoloz Basilashvili Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
10 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
9 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
8 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
14 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
9 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
26 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili Key Points
- Baena is 29 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Basilashvili has lost his last three matches, two on clay.
- Baena has reached one ATP Tour clay court semi-final this year.
- Baena has won three of his last five clay court matches.
Our Roberto Carballes Baena vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction
Can Roberto Carballes Baena finally get a win over Nikoloz Basilashvili? He's lost three times to his opponent but they haven't played each other since 2021 and the only match on clay was ten years ago.
Current form points towards a Baena win and a side bet on that being in three sets could be a winning one. Basilashvili has lost his last three matches, the last two of them on this surface Our Roberto Carballes Baena v Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction is Roberto Carballes Baena to win.